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Coronavirus Prediction
In this study, our machine learning model is applied to the Coronovirus dataset to predict the risk of this disease in an individual. An end-to end process is used where people must enter their details in the web application and submit the data. The real-time processing takes place, and the risk is predicted within a few seconds.
The web application that is used as a real-time database on the cloud is the cloud-native database. Th trained parameters of the model are stored in the database, and prediction is done in real-time.
Further, the user is also notified of the accuracy of the model. Apart from this, the news article from trusted sources is also shared in the app in real-time.
As in all disease prediction models, patient data will be preprocessed first. The second step will be the first step that defines the prediction model. Many parameters and hyperparameters must be set when defining the model. These elements have a very significant effect on accuracy, they can also prevent under-fitting and overfitting of our prediction model. The third step is to fit the data to the model and finally the fourth step will be to verify the model accuracy.
The main aspects of the service is as follow
The first part is about preparing and preprocessing the data. This part discusses different features related to each other and also how some features are eliminated from the process.
The load data consists of 70,000 data points.Out of the features listed in the table, the features used include “age,” “gender,” “height,” “weight,” “cholesterol,” “gluc,” “smoke,” “alco,” “ap_hi,” and “ap_lo.”. There were some outliers. *e value of systolic blood pressure above 200 and the value of diastolic pressure above 150 are referred to as outliers here. A snapshot of the dataset is shown below.
The dataset can be seen as below. Dataset has demographic properies of the invidiual as wel as habits.
Coronovirus dataset used in this study has features shown below.
Id
Age
Gender
Height
Weight
Ap_lo
Cholesterol
Gluc
Smoc
Alco
Active
Cardio
0
18393
2
168
62.0
110
80
1
1
0
1
0
1
20228
1
156
85.0
140
90
3
1
0
1
1
2
18857
1
165
64.0
130
70
3
1
0
0
1
3
17623
2
169
82.0
150
100
80
1
0
1
1
4
17474
2
158
58.0
100
60
80
1
0
0
0
For analysis of features, a heat map was drawn as below. According to the heat map, the most important features in determining coronovirus include systolic and diastolic blood pressure, cholesterol, and age.
The most important features in determining coronovirus shown in the table as below.
Feature
Description
Age
Date confirmation
Sex
Symptoms
City
lives_in_Wuhan
Province
travel_history_dates
Country
travel_history_location
Wuhan?
reported_market_exposure
Latitude
Additional information
Longitude
chronic_disease_binary
geo_resolution
chronic_disease
date_onset_symptoms
Source
After cleaning and analyzing the dataset, machine learning models were applied. The logistic regression model is used for all the datasets. To make the prediction, the coefficients and intercept of all the three logistic regression models are stored in a cloud-native real-time database.
Below figure hows an example of prediction in our web app. From the comparative analysis, it is found that among the existing models, the proposed model outperforms the competitive models in terms of various performance measures.
This case study provides insights into using the machine learning models to predict the risk of heart disease in an individual based on answering a few questions related to various factors like travel history, age, gender, and blood pressure. Logistic regression is used for prediction.
The findings in this diagnosis service can be helpful in the early screening of potential heart disease patients. It can be helpful in the sense that the first screening can be performed at the comfort of home. If a high risk of disease is predicted in a patient, then it can be followed by clinical trials for confirmation.
Whether you are a small clinic or a large hospital or enterprise, our data analytics solutions can help you stay ahead of the curve and make informed decisions that drive business growth and success. Contact us today to learn more about how our services can benefit your organization!
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